Categories
AI Business

The Wage of Knowing

In 1973 the Los Angeles Public Library installed a telephone line that worked while the building was dark. Dial H-O-O-T-O-W-L on a rotary phone, nine at night until one in the morning, and a librarian would answer. Somebody wanted to know the boiling point of mercury, or who wrote a poem they half remembered, or how many wives Henry VIII actually had, and a person on the other end of a cord found out. This went on for years. Nobody thought of it as data collection. It was just a service, a courtesy, a woman at a desk with a card catalog in her head.

I worked, in another life, in the payments industry, back when a merchant who wanted to charge your card had to call in and ask permission. There were rooms for this. Banks of phones, a bulletin of stolen numbers updated by hand, a floor limit past which a supervisor had to be found. The people answering the phones were, more often than you would guess, college students. Twenty years old, minimum wage, deciding in real time whether a stranger’s card was good. Nobody trained them for six months first. They learned the bulletin, they learned to listen for something wrong in a voice, and they said yes or no.

I have been driven, recently, by a car with nobody driving it. I noticed the wheel turning on its own and I braced for the wrongness of it. Thirty seconds later I was not bracing. I was looking out the window. The data says I was right to relax: across two hundred and twenty million miles, the cars involved in this experiment cause a small fraction of the serious crashes a human would have caused over the same roads. I did not need the data. I needed thirty seconds.

None of these people knew what they were doing. That is the thing about the librarian and the college student and, for that matter, about me learning to trust a wheel that moves by itself. The librarian was not building a search engine. The clerk was not training a fraud model. He was making rent. Their competence was not evidence, to them. It was just Tuesday. It became evidence later, to someone else, in a room they never saw — the accident logs, the chargeback data, the accumulated record of a million correct guesses that turned out to be exactly the material a system needed to learn the job and take it.

This is the part that is easy to get wrong. It is not that the human failed and the machine succeeded. It is that the human succeeding, over and over, in full view, was the demonstration that the job could be learned. You do not automate a task nobody can do. You automate the one being done well enough, often enough, for long enough that the pattern becomes visible. Doing the job right was never neutral. It was the case being built.

Which brings me to a woman I will call the lawyer, because there are thousands of her and none of them are exactly her. She has a laptop open at her kitchen table. She logs into a dashboard belonging to a company that pairs credentialed people with the AI labs that need them — a doctor here, a banker there, a corporate attorney with fifteen years of contract law behind her. She reads a model’s draft of a merger agreement and marks where it reasons like a first-year associate instead of a partner. She rewrites a clause. She explains, in the margin, why the model’s version would get laughed out of a negotiation. She is paid well for this. More, some weeks, than she billed certain clients.

She knows exactly what she is doing. That is the difference between her and the other three. The librarian did not know she was leaving a trail. The clerk did not know his good judgment would become someone else’s weights. I did not know, thirty seconds into that ride, that I was participating in anything at all. The lawyer knows. She is being paid, by the hour, at a rate that respects her expertise, to make her expertise legible enough that it no longer requires her. The company she works for has a name for this. They call it the reinforcement learning economy, which is a tidy way of saying: teach it everything, and then it will not need to call you back.

She does the work anyway. The rate is good. The work is interesting, in the way that teaching is interesting — you learn what you know by trying to say it clearly enough for someone else to use. Nobody is lying to her. The dashboard does not pretend to be anything other than what it is. She logs off at the end of the session the way anyone logs off after a long day of being excellent at something, tired in the specific way that comes from careful work, and she does not, from what I understand, spend the evening thinking about what she has just fed into the machine.

I keep coming back to the rotary dial. Somebody dialing H-O-O-T-O-W-L at midnight in 1973 could not have imagined the lawyer at her kitchen table. But the shape is the same, if you look at it long enough. A person answers a question well. The answering becomes a record. The record becomes a system. The system answers next time. Nobody in the room ever decided this was the plan. It just turned out, every time, to be the plan.

Categories
Menlo Park Serendipity

Two Kinds of Efficiency

The fog hadn’t lifted yet over Sharon Park, the kind of gray that Menlo Park wears many June mornings like it’s embarrassed to admit the sun is up there somewhere, and I was on my usual loop around the pond when I noticed in the distance that the goats were back. And one more thing too. I stopped.

On one side: forty, maybe fifty goats, heads down, working a hillside of dry summer grass like a crew that had done this job a thousand times, because they had. The city brings them in every year around now, before fire season, to eat down the fuel load that nobody wants to mow. White ones, brown ones, a few with horns curling back like something out of a hieroglyph. They don’t look up much. A goat eating is a goat with one job and no curiosity about yours.

On the other side, maybe forty yards past them, through the wire: a Waymo. White, sensor pod spinning slow on the roof like a lighthouse that had wandered inland and gotten confused about its purpose, parked at the curb with nobody in it. Just sitting there. Idling, if a thing with no engine can idle. Waiting on a fare, or waiting on nothing, the way these cars do now, patient in a way that doesn’t read as patience because there’s no face attached to it.

I stood looking for longer than the moment deserved, the way you do when something hands you a thought before you’ve earned it. I remembered I should take a photograph.

Here is what struck me, eventually: both of them were efficient. That’s the word that kept showing up, uninvited. The goats are efficient in the oldest way there is — they convert a problem (too much dry brush, a fire waiting to happen) into a solved problem, using nothing but appetite and stomachs and several thousand years of being bred for exactly this. Nobody programmed a goat. A goat doesn’t have a model. A goat has a memory that goes back to whatever the last hillside tasted like, and an instinct that says eat that one next, and that’s the whole operating system.

The Waymo is efficient in the newest way there is. Lidar instead of appetite. A map instead of memory. It doesn’t get bred for the job, it gets trained for it, mile after simulated mile, until eventually you can park it at a curb in a quiet park and trust it not to do anything stupid. It was, in its way, doing the same thing the goats were doing — converting a hard, slightly dangerous task that used to require a person’s full attention into something that just sort of happens now, off to the side, while everyone gets on with their morning.

I’ve spent a fair amount of my working life around payments systems and fraud models, which is its own quiet machinery — systems built to notice the thing before the thing becomes a problem, the same job the goats were doing on that hillside, eating the grass before it becomes a fire. So maybe that’s why I stood looking longer than I meant to. I recognized the shape of it, even though one side of the fence had hooves and the other side had a sensor array worth more than my first house.

What I didn’t expect was how unbothered each side seemed by the other. The goats did not care that there was an expensive autonomous vehicle parked within sight of their breakfast. The Waymo, for its part, did not care about anything, which I suppose is the whole point of it — it isn’t built to care, only to notice, and the goats had registered exactly zero on whatever sensor suite decides what’s worth noticing. Two systems, separated by maybe forty yards and several thousand years of technological distance, each one going about its business with total indifference to the other’s existence.

I used to think the line between old world and new world would announce itself — some clean morning where you’d wake up and the future would have visibly arrived, banners out, the old thing retired with a gold watch. It doesn’t work that way, it turns out. It works like this: a fence, some goats, a car with nobody driving it, and a guy on his usual walk who happens to notice that both of them are quietly, competently doing a job that fire season requires somebody — or something — to do.

I kept walking. The goats kept eating. The Waymo, as far as I know, was dispatched somewhere, picked up whoever needs a ride, sensor pod turning over the same hill the goats had already half cleared. Two kinds of efficiency, on either side of an electrified wire fence, neither one impressed by the other, both of them right.

I don’t know what to do with that, exactly, except to write it down and remember it. Some mornings my walk gives me exercise. Some mornings it gives me a simple memory I didn’t ask for, standing there looking.

Categories
Cars Living San Francisco/California

Riding Solo: My Driverless Waymo Experience in San Francisco

I had the chance to experience the future of transportation yesterday by taking my first ride in a Waymo autonomous vehicle from Tadich Grill to the Caltrain station in San Francisco. Let me tell you, it was a pretty mind-blowing experience!

After ordering the ride through the Waymo app, it took about 7 minutes for the sleek, electric Jaguar to pull up across the street. With no designated pickup zone, the car had to park a little distance away. As I approached, the doors remained locked until I used the app to unlock them remotely. Once inside the luxurious cabin, buckling up and tapping the “Start Ride” button on the center console was all it took to embark on this journey into the future.

As we glided through the city streets, the car’s displays provided a real-time view of our route and surroundings, not unlike the experience in a Tesla. But what really struck me were the reactions from pedestrians and other drivers. At every stoplight, people would do a double-take, point, and wave enthusiastically at the backseat occupant (me!), clearly amazed to see a car navigating entirely on its own.

The whole experience felt seamless, almost eerily so. The music playing in the car seems purposely designed to be very soothing too. You can select your own music if you prefer but I was enjoying the peacefulness of Waymo’s default selections.

The autonomous system handled every turn, stop, and merge with a level of precision that even the most skilled human driver would struggle to match. And the best part? No awkward small talk or dealing with a distracted Uber driver! Oh, one other benefit – no tipping the driver!

Waymo’s autonomous ride service in San Francisco is truly a glimpse into the future of mobility. If this is just the beginning, I can’t wait to see what other technological marvels await us down the road.