Categories
AI Technology

The Bathwater Problem

Gary Kamiya was writing about the Tenderloin when he said it, but the line has been following me around: “The problem is that by saving the baby, you also save the bathwater.”

The pattern is remarkably consistent across every major information technology. Each one arrives promising to liberate the deserving — the faithful, the learned, the civic-minded — and each one immediately, inevitably, arms everyone else too. Gutenberg’s press was understood by its champions as a device for spreading the true Word; within decades it was the primary infrastructure for Protestant schism, Catholic counter-propaganda, astrological almanacs, and pornography. The reformers got their Bible. They also got their pamphlet wars.

The telegraph was greeted as a force for peace — shared information would make war irrational, commerce would bind nations. It also became the nervous system of commodity speculation, financial manipulation, and the first truly industrial-scale news hoaxes. The telephone: connection and the crank call, the crisis line and the threatening voice in the dark. Radio: FDR’s fireside chats and Father Coughlin. Television: Murrow taking down McCarthy, and also fifty years of manufactured consent. The internet: the largest library ever assembled and the largest sewer.

The pattern isn’t coincidental. It’s structural. Each technology expands what’s possible for human expression and coordination — and human expression and coordination contain both the noblest and the worst of us in roughly fixed proportion. The tool doesn’t change the ratio. It scales both sides of it.

What’s interesting historically is how each generation believes their technology will be different — that this time the architecture can be designed to select for the good. The internet era produced the most elaborate version of this belief: algorithmic curation would surface truth, network effects would reward quality, the wisdom of crowds would outcompete misinformation. Instead it turned out that engagement was the attractor, and outrage was the highest-engagement content. The bath got hotter.

The AI moment is the same belief system, restated with more technical sophistication. But the Kamiya line stands. You are saving a baby, and you are saving bathwater, and no one has yet designed a tub that can tell the difference.

The question isn’t whether the bathwater comes with the baby. It always does. The question is whether you turn on the tap.

Categories
AI Business Media News

The Lost-Wax Casting of Cable News

I remember the physical weight of a television remote in the late 1990s, clicking through a suddenly expanding universe of 24-hour cable news. It felt like stepping into a river that never stopped moving.

This morning, Andreessen Horowitz (a16z) announced a new 24/7 “news channel” streaming on X, named “MTS” (Monitor the Situation). It joins networks like TBPN and a growing army of individual creators, all vying to fill the endless void of the present moment with non-stop commentary.

It feels like a significant shift in how we consume the present. But I suspect it’s actually just scaffolding.

In the lost-wax process of bronze casting, an artist sculpts a form in wax, builds a heavy ceramic mold around it, and then pours in molten metal. The heat is absolute. The wax melts away, completely consumed and replaced by the final, permanent structure. The wax was never the destination; it was merely holding the shape until the real material was ready.

Right now, human creators are the wax.

We are building the molds for the 24/7, always-on broadcast of the internet age. Human hosts are sitting in chairs, monitoring the situation, talking into the void, exhausting themselves to maintain the stream. They are doing the grueling, manual labor of defining what a continuous social-first news network looks and feels like.

But human endurance is fragile. We need sleep. We need silence. We eventually run out of words.

The artificial intelligence models currently learning to synthesize news, clone voices, and generate video are the molten bronze. Eventually, the human hosts of these endless streams will melt away. The channel will remain—a fully AI-driven entity that never blinks, never tires, and never needs a coffee break.

I’ve held on to failing investments for far too long, convinced that if I just put more energy into them, they would eventually stabilize and turn around. We often make this mistake. We mistake the transitional phase for the final destination. We think the current iteration of “monitoring the situation” with exhausted human pundits is the future of media.

It isn’t. It’s just the awkward teenage years of a medium waiting for its true native technology.

The human commentators are doing the necessary work of teaching the system what a 24-hour news network on a social platform requires. Once the lesson is learned, the teachers will no longer be needed. The future is only guaranteed for those who can afford to survive the present.

Is it ironic that TBPN was just acquired by OpenAI?

Categories
News

Turning Out the Lights

[Note: see also The Murder of the Washington Post by Ashley Parker who writes: “Jeff Bezos, the billionaire owner of The Washington Post, and Will Lewis, the publisher he appointed at the end of 2023, are embarking on the latest step of their plan to kill everything that makes the paper special.”]

I was struck this morning by the brutal dismantling of the Washington Post’s international reporting capabilities. The list of bureaus being shuttered by the paper reads like a roll call of the 21st century’s geopolitical fault lines: New Delhi, Sydney, Cairo, the entire Middle East team, China, Iran, Turkey.

It is a stunning retreat.

But to view this merely as a corporate restructuring or a casualty of the dying business model of print journalism seems to miss a deeper, darker signal. This seems like an actual cultural symptom.

“The world is becoming less America-centric by the minute while the United States is becoming more America-centric than ever.”

At the exact moment technology has rendered the world indistinguishable from a single room—where a virus, a meme, or a financial crash in one corner sweeps across the floor to the other in seconds—we are choosing to partition off that room.

There is a tragic symmetry to it. As the center of gravity shifts away from the us, the we respond not by engaging harder, but by closing its eyes.

When a newspaper that has shaped history decides that “reporting on the world” is no longer of valuable enough, it is doing more than saving money – although clearly that’s the primary motivation. It seems to be a surrender to the idea that what happens “over there” doesn’t matter enough to us because the people who were supposed to tell us it was coming are gone.

We seem to be turning out the lights in the rooms we find too difficult, believing that if we cannot see the world, the world cannot touch us. Feels wrong.

The moves closing these bureaus are part of broader cuts at the paper:

  • Closing the Sports section
  • Closing the Books section.
  • Restructuring and shrinking the Metro desk.
  • Suspending the Post Reports podcast.