Tag: Truth

Categories
News Writing

A Tribute to John F. Burns

“The commitment to fairness and balance and to shunning conventional truths when our reporting leads us in unexpected directions has been our gold standard.” — John F. Burns

As I’ve gotten older I pay closer attention to the obituary section of the New York Times. It frequently teaches me and brings back unusual memories that surprise me. Today it was my memory of years of reading the writings of John Burns brought back to life as I read his obituary.

Burns retired over ten years ago. I now remember thinking at the time just what a loss that would be for the paper. Reading Alan Cowell’s obituary of John F. Burns this morning, I felt that absence acutely.

For years, Burns was my first read—a “fireman” of the foreign desk who didn’t just report on the heat; he translated the embers.

Burns belonged to an era of journalism that felt more like a literary calling than a content cycle. He was a man who could find the “sweep of history” in the “telling detail of the present.”

Who else would think to frame the harrowing siege of Sarajevo through the haunting notes of a cellist playing Albinoni’s Adagio amidst the rubble? He understood that to explain a war, you must first explain the soul of the city being broken by it.

His career was a map of the 20th and 21st centuries’ most jagged edges—from the “wasteland of blasted mosques” in Bosnia to the “harrowing regime” of the Taliban in 1990s Afghanistan.

Yet, for all his Pulitzers and his debonair appearances in a Burberry raincoat on Red Square, there was a refreshing, stubborn humility to his craft.

He famously tilted against the “missionary complex” of modern reporting. He didn’t want to save the world; he wanted to see it—clearly, fairly, and without the blinding influence of ideology.

There is something deeply moving about his partnership with his wife, Jane Scott-Long which wasn’t familiar to me. While John was the “full force of talent” at the keyboard, Jane was the architect of safety, turning run-down Baghdad houses into fortified sanctuaries with “military-style blast walls” and, perhaps most essentially, a state-of-the-art coffee machine. They were a team that survived the “chaos of war” by creating a small, civilized center within it.

In his later years after she passed, Burns became more reclusive, a quiet departure for a man once known as a “raconteur with panache.” It’s a transition that mirrors the profession itself. He flourished in a pre-internet era, where time-zone differentials allowed for “considered writing.” Today, the “blue pencil” of the editor has been replaced by the instant, unvetted roar of the social feed.

His final story for the Times was about the reburial of King Richard III. It was a fitting end: a story about the “sweep of the centuries” propelling the news of the day.

As I reflect back on his work and my years of reading it, I realize that what I miss isn’t just the news he delivered. I miss the way he delivered it—with the patience of a historian and the heart of a poet. He kept the paper straight, and in doing so, he helped us keep our bearings in a world that so often feels lost. Especially today.

Categories
Probabilities

The Fiction of Certainty

There is a profound discomfort in the space between zero and one.

In her book Spies, Lies, and Algorithms, Amy B. Zegart notes a fundamental flaw in our cognitive architecture:

“Humans are atrocious at understanding probabilities.”

It is a sharp, unsparing observation, but it is not an insult. It is an evolutionary receipt. We are atrocious at probabilities because we were designed for causality, not calculus. On the savanna, if you heard a rustle in the tall grass, you didn’t perform a Bayesian analysis to determine the statistical likelihood of a lion versus the wind. You ran. The cost of a false positive was a wasted sprint; the cost of a false negative was death.

We are the descendants of the paranoid pattern-seekers. We survived because we treated possibilities as certainties.

The Binary Trap

Today, this ancient wiring misfires. We live in a world governed by complex systems, subtle variables, and sliding scales of risk. Yet, our brains still crave the binary. We want “Safe” or “Dangerous.” We want “Guilty” or “Innocent.” We want “It will rain” or “It will be sunny.”

When a meteorologist says there is a 30% chance of rain, and it rains, we scream that they were wrong. We feel betrayed. We forget that 30% is a very real number; it means that in three out of ten parallel universes, you got wet. We just happened to occupy one of the three.

Zegart operates in the world of intelligence—a misty domain of “moderate confidence” and “low likelihood assessments.” In that world, failing to grasp probability leads to catastrophic policy failures. But in our personal lives, it leads to a different kind of failure: the inability to find peace in uncertainty.

Stories > Statistics

We tell ourselves stories to bridge the gap. We prefer a terrifying narrative with a clear cause to a benign reality based on random chance. Stories have arcs; statistics have variance. Stories have heroes and villains; probabilities only have outcomes.

To accept that we are bad at probability is an act of intellectual humility. It forces us to pause when we feel that rush of certainty. It asks us to look at the rustling grass and admit, “I don’t know what that is,” and be okay with sitting in that discomfort.

We may never be good at understanding probabilities—our biology fights against it—but we can get better at forgiving the universe for being random.

Categories
News

Turning Out the Lights

[Note: see also The Murder of the Washington Post by Ashley Parker who writes: “Jeff Bezos, the billionaire owner of The Washington Post, and Will Lewis, the publisher he appointed at the end of 2023, are embarking on the latest step of their plan to kill everything that makes the paper special.”]

I was struck this morning by the brutal dismantling of the Washington Post’s international reporting capabilities. The list of bureaus being shuttered by the paper reads like a roll call of the 21st century’s geopolitical fault lines: New Delhi, Sydney, Cairo, the entire Middle East team, China, Iran, Turkey.

It is a stunning retreat.

But to view this merely as a corporate restructuring or a casualty of the dying business model of print journalism seems to miss a deeper, darker signal. This seems like an actual cultural symptom.

“The world is becoming less America-centric by the minute while the United States is becoming more America-centric than ever.”

At the exact moment technology has rendered the world indistinguishable from a single room—where a virus, a meme, or a financial crash in one corner sweeps across the floor to the other in seconds—we are choosing to partition off that room.

There is a tragic symmetry to it. As the center of gravity shifts away from the us, the we respond not by engaging harder, but by closing its eyes.

When a newspaper that has shaped history decides that “reporting on the world” is no longer of valuable enough, it is doing more than saving money – although clearly that’s the primary motivation. It seems to be a surrender to the idea that what happens “over there” doesn’t matter enough to us because the people who were supposed to tell us it was coming are gone.

We seem to be turning out the lights in the rooms we find too difficult, believing that if we cannot see the world, the world cannot touch us. Feels wrong.

The moves closing these bureaus are part of broader cuts at the paper:

  • Closing the Sports section
  • Closing the Books section.
  • Restructuring and shrinking the Metro desk.
  • Suspending the Post Reports podcast.