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Business Current Affairs Frustrations

The Hard Part

So, now the hard part comes re: AIG.

Not the bonuses to the AIG FP folks – but, rather, AIG’s passthrough of billions of dollars of emergency federal funding to “the coffers of several dozen big banks, shielding them from losses.”

And AIG didn’t just pass the billions through to American banks – but “Société Générale of France and Deutsche Bank of Germany, each of which received nearly $12 billion, Barclays of Britain, which received $8.5 billion, and UBS of Switzerland, which received $5 billion.”

The magic phrase: 100 percent on the dollar. Why? Who’s in charge of this debacle, anyway?

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Business Design Presentations

Having Fun at Presentation Reboot @ Duarte Design

One of my partners from Glenbrook, Russ Jones, and I attended the great Presentation Reboot session held at Duarte Design in Mountain View on Tuesday.

Taught by Garr Reynolds and Nancy Duarte, the session was a deep dive into creating effective presentations – and a whole lot of fun too – as you can see in the picture below that Garr took!

Presentation Reboot at Duarte Design

Another attendee, Chris Spagnuolo, posted a review of the session on his blog.

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Business Current Affairs Frustrations

AIG: Inmates Running the Asylum

Bob O’Brien has a great Stocks to Watch column on Barrons.com this morning titled “Inmates Run The Asylum: The AIG Story“. I particularly enjoyed this part:

Congress said it is upset. Repeat: Congress is upset. Representative Carolyn Maloney said she has been ”asking for this information for months.” And then characterized the disclosure as, effectively, a good start? This is the equal of a guy falling off a 30-story building commenting, as he passed the 20th floor, ‘’so far, so good.”

Well said!

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Business Current Affairs Frustrations

The AIG FIrestorm Leaps the Firebreaks

Earlier today, I suggested the sun needed to shine on AIG and its counterparty dealings. Late today, AIG disclosed an initial list of its counterparties – see this NY Times report.

Now that the sun shine has begun peeking through the AIG fog, what do we learn? Essentially, that a significant chunk of the US government’s bailout funding of AIG was passed through in the form of billions of dollars to AIG’s counterparties.

At the top of the list – Goldman Sachs which received $12.9 billion. Next, Société Générale of France and Deutsche Bank of Germany, which each received nearly $12 billion. Barclays (UK) received $8.5 billion, Merrill Lynch ($6.8 billion), Bank of America ($5.2 billion), UBS of Switzerland ($5 billion), Citigroup ($2.3 billion) and Wachovia ($1.5 billion).

The article goes on to note that “A.I.G. also named the 20 largest states, starting with California, that stood to lose billions last fall because A.I.G. was holding money they had raised with bond sales.”

On tonight’s 60 Minutes broadcast, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke commented about the AIG situation and how it provoked in him the most outrage of any of the issues in this financial crisis. From the transcript:

“Let me just first say that of all the events and all of the things we’ve done in the last 18 months, the single one that makes me the angriest, that gives me the most angst, is the intervention with AIG. Here was a company that made all kinds of unconscionable bets. Then, when those bets went wrong, we had a situation where the failure of that company would have brought down the financial system,” Bernanke said.

Our government – indeed, us – has had to provide over $160 billion in funds to AIG – so that AIG could pay off its counterparties – at full price. It’s absolutely unconscionable how this a) could have ever happened and b) was allowed to continue to operate in this fashion.

Unfortunately, today has been a very sad day for America – among too many others heretofore in this crisis. We finally know a bit about where our bailout money has gone – and it really doesn’t feel very good.

I’m not really sure who’s running the show these days with respect to providing AIG management oversight. The AIG website still lists this board of directors as being responsible for corporate governance. Perhaps they’d like to provide us all a deeper perspective on the current AIG situation? And, why do they feel that Ed Liddy continues to be the right leadership for this firm at this time? How about giving us all an AIG State of the Union message – to the public shareholders who now own 80% of this company?

Frankly, I’m firmly in the camp with our Fed chairman – very angry at how AIG was allowed, by its board and management, to get us all into this ridiculous situation. Lots of difficult questions remain to be answered and many adjustments need made to prevent anything like this happening again in the future.

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Business Current Affairs Frustrations

The AIG Firestorm Spreads

Wow, there’s a real firestorm spreading among the public following last night’s news about AIG paying hundreds of millions in bonuses to members of its Financial Products team (the group that got them into difficulty).

Watching Twitter this morning was pretty amazing – a steady, real-time stream of complaints and anger at the sheer tone deafness of this action.

Listening to KGO this morning, host Brian Copeland was re-telling the story of how his grandmother got taken to the cleaners by American General, an insurance subsidiary of AIG. Reactions from his listeners were predictably angry.

Meanwhile, the New York Times picked up the theme from a week or two ago – asking again why we still don’t know who the counterparties have been that received billions of the bail-out money the government has provided to AIG. The editorial was blunt:

The secrecy is unacceptable. Taxpayers have a right to know how their tax dollars are being spent.

Gretchen Morgenson writes in her article titled “At A.I.G., Good Luck Following the Money” in the Times today that “the counterparties have received 30 percent of the $170 billion allocated to A.I.G.”

It’s time to let the sun shine in on this mess.

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Business Cavalier King Charles Spaniel Cooking HDR Photography Lily Living Menlo Park Photography

Grey Saturday Musings

Taking it easy on this grey, overcast and sorta chilly Saturday in Menlo Park. Grocery run this morning (Trader Joe’s, Draeger’s), a nice 0.6 mile walk with Lily, catching up with the morning papers, and now enjoying the aroma of the short ribs simmering on the stove! More about those short ribs coming soon over on Scott’s Kitchen!

Chris Gulker‘s mentioned Anne Knudsen to me on our morning walks. She’s a great Silicon Valley photographer friend of Chris – see her latest photo of him!

Don Neff forwarded a link to this article on Gizmodo: How To: Create Stunningly Realistic High Dynamic Range Photographs. See some of my earlier posts about shooting HDR on my Canon 40D. It’s been way too long – I need to carve out some time for another HDR shoot day sometime soon!

AIG sucks again. This story in tomorrow’s New York Times says they’ve got to pay out $100 MM in bonuses “to executives in the same business unit that brought the company to the brink of collapse last year.” A chapter 11 filing would have forced a cram down on any “contractually obligated” bonuses. Who’s in charge of this circus, anyway?

Late tonight, the WSJ comes out with another story about AIG bonuses – it’s actually worse than it appears! This crap has to stop!

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Business Current Affairs

A Market Bottom?

Have we just experienced the stock market’s bottom? Or, is there more to come?

The psychology of all of this is interesting. Earlier today, I actually bought a few stocks – financials (which, unfortunately, I tend to know the most about).

Last night, I watched a replay of Warren Buffett’s comments on CNBC’s Squawk Box from early in the day on Monday. Then, I watched Charlie Rose’s interview of Barton Biggs. Did both of them swing me too much to the positive? Time will tell.

Let’s hope the rumors about the uptick rule being reinstated along with a resolution of the mark-to-market issue are right. Otherwise, today’s gains could evaporate yet again.

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Business

California Small Business Owners’ Pessimism Doubles

Union Bank has announced results from its ninth annual Small Business Survey of small business owners in California – finding “the highest rate of pessimism and the lowest rate of optimism in its history.”

The percentage of pessimistic owners – those who anticipate a decline in profits – doubled, rising to 24 percent compared to 12 percent last year and just 4 percent in 2007. While 34 percent of owners say they are optimistic that profits will improve this year, they are far fewer than the 52 percent who were optimistic last year.

The survey provices just more confirmation that businesses are really pretty frozen given the current economic climate.

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Business Current Affairs

Stunning!

Nothing quite focuses the mind as hearing about the current state of affairs in the automobile industry – specifically, about how sales for both GM and Ford declined about 50% during February. Even Toyota saw sales decline 40%.

“The economic and competitive environment remains challenging,” Ford sales executive Ken Czubay said in prepared comments.

Challenging? Who’s he kidding? Look out below!

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Business Current Affairs Living Twitter

Listening to Our Hunches – and Acting on Them

Titled “The Crisis The Gurus Punted“, David Ignatius’ column for tomorrow’s Washington Post begins:

The big mistakes we make in life aren’t the ones that sneak up on us, but those we make with our eyes wide open.

He goes on to note that today’s financial crisis isn’t a surprise – smart people have been warning us for years about what might be coming. But, we didn’t act – we didn’t follow our hunches. Ignatius urges Summers and Geithner to act – this time.

Serendipitously, someone happened to Twitter this morning about the talk Evan Williams gave recently at TED – which is really all about learning to following your hunch.

Earlier this morning, Berkshire Hathaway released this year’s Chairman’s Letter from Warren Buffett in which he reminds us of his dire warnings about derivatives – published six years ago.

No easy answers, of course – but the failure to take decisive action, to heed and act on our own hunches, is something we all need to get better at!